What is the hydrologic cycle?

Because the cyclic nature of the water cycle, removal of groundwater can reduce surface water in lakes and streams. (Photo credit: The Capital Times archives)

Due to the cyclical nature of the hydrologic cycle, removal of groundwater can reduce surface water in lakes and streams. (Photo credit: The Capital Times archives)

The hydrologic cycle describes the circulation of water from the ocean and other watery surfaces to the atmosphere and to the land.

A major source of atmospheric water vapor is evaporation from the oceans. Precipitation — rain, snow, sleet or freezing rain — falls from clouds and is a loss of atmospheric water as it removes water from the atmosphere.

Precipitation returns water to the Earth’s surface and is a source of water for land. Precipitation on land may collect in lakes, run in rivers back to the ocean or percolate into the soil.

The hydrologic cycle is an interactive system. Water in the atmosphere, in the ocean, on land and underground is linked, and changing one modifies the others.

Since water plays a major role in weather and climate, it is important to understand the hydrologic cycle. A change in one component of the hydrologic cycle can affect weather. For example, a decrease in the amount of cloud cover over land during the day will allow more solar energy to reach the surface and warm the ground and the atmosphere above.

Another example is how an increased frequency in intense precipitation events over land areas can lead to flooding rather than waters seeping into aquifers.

While the hydrologic cycle is a global phenomenon, there are regional aspects that impact Wisconsin as hydrological changes across watersheds impact water supply. With ongoing climate change, shifts in precipitation patterns can impact water resources and thus management practices.

A drop in precipitation over a watershed will reduce the amount of surface waters and thus percolation into the ground. Most Wisconsin residents get their drinking water from groundwater.

Similarly, because of the cyclical nature of the water cycle, removal of groundwater can reduce surface water in lakes and streams. Groundwater recharge, water filtration and flood prevention practices may have to adapt to our observed regional climate change. Such adaptations need to consider the water cycle as an interactive system and not an isolated event.

Category: Climate, Meteorology

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How does weather impact forest fires?

Wildfires south of Fort McMurray in Alberta Canada on 5/7/16. (Credit: Jonathan Hayward –  Canadian Press)

Fires require fuel to burn, heat to ignite and oxygen to feed the chemical reaction. Weather plays a key role in all of these requirements to start and spread a forest fire.

Weather and climate are important in making fuel available by determining the moisture content of the vegetation. A long period without rain dries out the vegetation, making it easier to burn and thus a better fuel source.

Low humidity makes it easier to start and spread a fire. Trees and shrubs wet from rains make it more difficult to start a fire.

Lightning from thunderstorms often starts a wild fire in remote areas. Hot days will warm and dry potential fuels, making the fire easier to start and increasing the rate at which it can spread.

Winds also play an important role in starting and spreading a fire by fanning the flames of the initial spark from a lightning bolt. The winds provide fresh oxygen that can also stir a fire that has died down. Winds help steer, along with fuel availability and topography, the direction and progress of a fire.

A large fire can generate a wind pattern of its own that can help to spread the fire. Rotating winds can develop along the edge of a hot fire. These vortices are a result of the contrast between the hot air associated with the fire edge and the cooler air over the adjacent, non-burning region.

Fire tornadoes can be generated when the vortices are tilted from the horizontal to a vertical direction. Fire tornadoes can be composed of flames or black smoke and can toss burning debris into the non-burning area, helping to spread the fire.

The substantial influence that the fire has on the winds surrounding it makes the precise direction and speed of the spread of the fire difficult to forecast.

Steve Ackerman and Jonathan Martin, professors in the UW-Madison department of atmospheric and oceanic sciences, are guests on WHA radio (970 AM) at 11:45 a.m. the last Monday of each month.

Category: Meteorology, Phenomena, Weather Dangers

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Is our growing season getting longer?

Khadga Acharya, right, and her mother-in-law, Kala Acharya, harvest an early season crop of herbs from their family's garden plot at the Fountain of Live Community Garden in Madison last June. Wisconsin's growing season has lengthened by about 12 days, allowing production of longer-season crop types and varieties. (Photo credit: John Hart - State Journal)

Khadga Acharya, right, and her mother-in-law, Kala Acharya, harvest an early season crop of herbs from their family’s garden plot in Madison.  Wisconsin’s growing season has lengthened by about 12 days, allowing production of longer-season crop types and varieties. (Photo credit: John Hart – State Journal)

Yes. There are several studies that demonstrate shifts in the timing and length of the growing season.

One way to measure the length of the growing season is to count the number of days between the last frost in spring and the first frost in fall. By this measure, Wisconsin’s growing season lengthened by about 12 days between 1950 and 2006.

Longer growing seasons allow production of longer-season crop types and varieties.

The Growing Degree Days, or GDD, is a heat index that is related to plant development and is used to predict when a crop will reach maturity.

Each day’s GDD is calculated by subtracting a reference temperature, which varies with plant species, from the daily mean temperature, setting values less than zero to zero.

The reference temperature for a given plant is the temperature below which development for that plant either slows or stops.For example, cool season plants, like peas, have a reference temperature of 40 degrees, while warm season plants, like sweet corn and soybeans, have a reference temperature of 50 degrees.

The development of plants depends on the accumulation of heat. Since cool season plants have a lower reference temperature, they accumulate GDDs faster than warm season plants.

When drought or pests do not overly stress plants, the summation of the GDD can be used to measure the accumulation of heat and thus predict when a crop will reach maturity.

GDDs can be computed using climatic temperatures of an area. With that computation, we can estimate good crops to grow in a given region, similar to plant hardy zones. The longer growing season and warmer temperatures results in a changing GDD that is favorable to warm season plants.

Category: Climate, Seasons

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When can it get really hot in southern Wisconsin?

Kate Werner, left, and Maurissa Myers get a visit from a mallard, who stops and poses for a photo, while they enjoy the warm weather at James Madison Park on Lake Mendota last May.  From May 26 through Sept. 21, there is no calendar day on which the record high temperature in Madison is not at least 90. (Photo credit - Amber Arnold, State Journal archives)

Kate Werner, left, and Maurissa Myers get a visit from a mallard, who stops and poses for a photo, while they enjoy the warm weather at James Madison Park on Lake Mendota last May. From May 26 through Sept. 21, there is no calendar day on which the record high temperature in Madison is not at least 90. (Photo credit – Amber Arnold, State Journal archives)

Two of those occurred in April 1952 when the last four days of the month recorded high temperatures of 85, 90, 87 and 90. The real standout warm April day occurred on April 22, 1980, when the temperature soared to 94. On that same day, Milwaukee set its all-time April high record at 91, having reached 90 only one other time, on April 10, 1930.

Summer potential really arrives in Madison (and Milwaukee) in May when record highs above 90 have occurred on 17 of the 31 calendar days (15 in Milwaukee). Interestingly, from May 26 through Sept. 21 there is no calendar day on which the record high temperature in Madison is not at least 90. For Milwaukee, a similar interval stretches from May 24 through Sept. 24.

These unbroken streaks of days with the potential to exceed 90 are probably consistent with most people’s sense of the boundaries of the warm season in southern Wisconsin and so actually serve as decent operational definitions of summer for both cities.

Category: Climate, Meteorology, Seasons

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What connection does UW-Madison have with the National Weather Service?

Dr. Louis Uccellini (Photo credit:  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

Dr. Louis Uccellini (Photo credit: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

Last week, the director of the National Weather Service (NWS), Louis W. Uccellini, visited his alma mater as the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences inaugural Distinguished Alumni Award winner.

 

Uccellini presented the story of the intellectual and professional journey that led him to the leadership of this extraordinarily important government agency.

He reminded us of some of the rich history that connects the professional weather and climate forecasting services of today with the vision of some of Wisconsin’s first scientists, including professor Increase Lapham, who was among the more influential protagonists arguing for a National Weather Service during the 1860s. That history also includes the first weather satellites, foundational insights into the physics of weather systems in both the middle latitudes and the tropics, as well as pioneering work on understanding the climate system.

As his two-day visit came to a close, we were filled with a great pride that, because of his UW roots, we were able to engage hundreds of students in personal meetings with the director of the NWS. It reminded us that our department and our university are both institutions that aspire to change the world for the better.

UW-Madison is not great by accident but by choice. For more than 150 years the people of our state have chosen to make its success a priority because they realize it is one of the drivers of the state’s success. As Uccellini’s visit reminded us all, we strive to do great things at Wisconsin and we usually succeed.

Category: Meteorology

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