Author Archives: WeatherGuys Editor

What is the prediction on the rise of sea level?

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA, routinely monitors sea level and makes predictions of how it will change with time. The observations are based on a combination of tide gauge data and satellite observations.

Continuously tracking how and why sea level is changing is an important part of informing plans for adaptation to global changes. In a recent speech, former President Donald Trump falsely stated that “the ocean will rise 1/8 of an inch over the next 200 to 300 years.” Continue reading

Category: Climate, Severe Weather

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Was our weather this week related to the record event in Buffalo, New York?

It has been a fairly wintry week across the Great Lakes states, including here in southern Wisconsin.

Through Saturday night, it had snowed on five straight days in Madison, a total of 4.4 inches. The same pool of cold air above the ground that led to Madison’s intermittent snow showers stretched all the way across the Great Lakes. In fact, the Saturday morning temperature at 1.5km above the surface at Buffalo, New York, was minus 14 Celsius (about 7 degrees Fahrenheit). Continue reading

Category: Meteorology, Severe Weather

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How is the 2022 hurricane season going?

The hurricane season is a distinct time of year when tropical cyclones — tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes — usually develop.

Here in the U.S., we usually refer to the Atlantic hurricane season, as it’s those storms that most commonly affect the U.S., which extends from June 1 to Nov. 30. Continue reading

Category: Seasons, Tropical

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What’s behind November’s 70-degree days?

As the spectacular fall weather continued into November last week we saw temperatures soar into the 70s on the first three days of the month before plummeting back to more normal levels with the passage of a cold front on Saturday afternoon.

The three consecutive days — Nov. 1, 2, and 3 — represented only the fourth time in Madison’s weather history that at least three consecutive days in November registered high temperatures at or above 70 degrees. All of the other instances have occurred since 2008 — Nov. 3-5, 2008; Nov. 2-4, 2015, and the all-time longest such streak, which occurred Nov. 5-9, 2020. In addition, the latest-ever 70-degree day in a Madison November occurred on Nov. 17, 2016. Continue reading

Category: Climate, Seasons

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How unusual was the past weekend’s fantastic weather?

It is a fair bet that we would get near universal agreement that this October has been pretty spectacular here in southern Wisconsin. Through the 29th, the average temperature has been exactly normal, and we have had only 11 days … Continue reading

Category: History, Seasons

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