Why do thunderstorms scare dogs?

Posted on July 5, 2016 by WeatherGuys Editor
As an impending storm adds drama to the sky, Grant Bunchkowski of Oconomowoc and his dog, Champagne, take in the view near the city's Lac LaBelle in May 2013. Some dogs, like some humans, seem to have a great fear of thunderstorms. An article in "Psychology Today" suggests that some dogs may be seeking an electrical ground during a storm to avoid electrostatic shock. (Photo credit: John Hart, State Journal archives)

As an impending storm adds drama to the sky, Grant Bunchkowski of Oconomowoc and his dog, Champagne, take in the view near the city’s Lac LaBelle in May 2013. Some dogs, like some humans, seem to have a great fear of thunderstorms. An article in “Psychology Today” suggests that some dogs may be seeking an electrical ground during a storm to avoid electrostatic shock. (Photo credit: John Hart, State Journal archives)

Some dogs seem to have a great fear of thunderstorms, as do some humans.

Their fear can drive them through closed doors or windows, or send them cowering to an isolated spot in the house.

While it is unknown why some dogs become desperate to escape the storm, a few studies and personal experiences point to possible reasons for this fear.

Thunder, the loud noise that accompanies lightning, gives this nimbostratus cloud the name thunderstorm. Some dogs don’t like loud sounds, whether from a thunderclap or fireworks.

Static electricity may be another reason. An article in “Psychology Today” suggests that some dogs’ behavior during a storm means they are seeking an electrical ground to avoid electrostatic shock. Those dogs retreat to a particular location in the home during a storm, like the bathroom, bathtub or lean against a radiator.

Thunderstorms are associated with electric field changes. A bolt of lightning is an electrical discharge much like a shock you get when reaching to grab a metal door knob after walking on a rug, just much more energetic.

“St. Elmo’s fire” is evidence of this static electricity associated with thunderstorms. The masts of tall ships may acquire a blue or violet glow in the vicinity of thunderstorms. Pipes in homes and other metal objects have also displayed St. Elmo’s fire. The electric field around the mast, or pipes, causes ionization of the air molecules which generates a faint blue glow that is visible in low-light conditions.

A large dog with thick fur walking around on insulating foot pads is an ideal object for accumulating static charge, which will discharge.

The dog becomes conditioned to expect random shocks during the storm, probably not something anyone wants to endure.

Category: Meteorology, Phenomena, Weather Dangers

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What is the heat index?

Posted on June 27, 2016 by WeatherGuys Editor
Carter Reitz, 9, of DeForest, cools off during opening day at Goodman Pool on June 10, the first 90-degree day of the season. The heat index -- which can be higher or lower than the actual temperature -- indicates how hot it feels. (Photo credit: Amber Arnold, State Journal)

Carter Reitz, 9, of DeForest, cools off during opening day at Goodman Pool on June 10, the first 90-degree day of the season. The heat index — which can be higher or lower than the actual temperature — indicates how hot it feels. (Photo credit: Amber Arnold, State Journal)

The heat index indicates how hot it feels. It is expressed as a function of air temperature and the relative humidity.

The heat index temperature is for standing in the shade; when exposed to direct sunlight, the heat index value can be increased by up to 15 degrees.

When our bodies get hot we cool down by sweating. The sweating does not directly cool our bodies. It is the evaporation of the sweat that cools us down.

If the air has a high humidity, then the rate of evaporation is reduced. This hampers the body’s ability to maintain a nearly constant internal body temperature. This is why we are uncomfortable on hot, muggy days.

When the temperature is high but the relative humidity is low, the heat index can be less than the actual temperature. This is because cooling by evaporation of sweat is very efficient in these situations.

However, high relative humidities prevent evaporation and make it seem hotter than it really is because our bodies cannot cool down. In these cases, the heat index is greater than the actual temperature.

Summer heat waves are often associated with high heat indices and can be dangerous. For example, a heat wave in the Midwest in late July 1999 resulted in a heat index of 113 degrees in Chicago and resulted in more than 200 deaths in the Midwest. The heat wave that affected parts of the northeastern U.S., central Europe and Russia in the summer of 2010 contributed to the deaths of as many as 15,000 people in Moscow.

On July 31, 2015, the temperature in Bandar Mahshahr, Iran, was 115 degrees with a dew point temperature of 90, yielding a heat index of 165 degrees. The highest known heat index is 178 degrees, observed in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, on July 8, 2003.

The National Weather Service will issue a heat advisory when the heat index is predicted to be 100 degrees. You are then advised to limit vigorous outdoor activity and drink plenty of fluids.

Category: Meteorology, Seasons

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When was the year without a summer?

Posted on June 20, 2016 by WeatherGuys Editor
Mt. Etna, Europe's most active volcano, spews lave during an eruption on Nov. 16, 2013. The cold summer of 1816 is attributed to large volcanic eruptions. (Photo credit: Associated Press)

Mt. Etna, Europe’s most active volcano, spews lave during an eruption on Nov. 16, 2013. The cold summer of 1816 is attributed to large volcanic eruptions. (Photo credit: Associated Press)

The summer of 1816 is known as the year without a summer in eastern North America.

While extensive weather observations were not available, people’s journals documented the cold weather. Snow fell on June 5 in Vermont with temperatures in the low 30s, following a day with high temperatures in the upper 80s.

After the early June cold spell, farmers replanted as temperatures returned to normal. Another cold spell hit in July with freezing temperatures. Frost was also observed in August.

Weather in Europe and other regions of the globe was also abnormal as unusually cold and wet weather contributed to failed harvests.

The cold summer is attributed to large volcanic eruptions. Between 1812 and 1817 there were three major eruptions. The largest was Mt. Tambora, which erupted in Indonesia in April 1815.

The violent eruption pumped large amounts of debris and gases into the stratosphere. It took about a year for material from the eruption to spread globally. This cooled the planet because the tiny sulfuric acid drops reflected energy from the sun back out to space.

Not everything surrounding this event led to bad news. A group of friends vacationing in Switzerland found the cold summer unfavorable for outdoor activities, so they decided to have a ghost story contest. The winner was Mary Shelley and her story was published in 1818 — “Frankenstein.”

Category: Meteorology, Phenomena

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How do you measure how hot the summer is?

Posted on June 13, 2016 by WeatherGuys Editor
Jennifer Ronquillo, of Madison, plays with her daughters, Sienna, 3, and Neaveh, 1, at bottom, at Goodman Pool on opening day, Friday, Madison's first 90-degree day of the year.

Jennifer Ronquillo, of Madison, plays with her daughters, Sienna, 3, and Neaveh, 1, at bottom, at Goodman Pool on opening day, Friday, Madison’s first 90-degree day of the year.

After experiencing our first 90-degree day of the season on Friday, many people are wondering what we might expect this summer.

It turns out that the number or 90-degree days each summer is extremely variable here in Madison. From 1971 to 2015, the average number of days at or above 90 in Madison was 10.96. This average, however, struggles to convey a sense of the variability.

A better way to express that variability is by calculating the standard deviation, which, when added to or subtracted from the average, sets a range in which approximately two-thirds of the years will fall.

In this case the standard deviation is nine. Thus, we might expect that two-thirds of the years would range from having 20 to two days at or above 90. As it turns out, 33 of the last 45 summers have been in that range.

It  is interesting that six summers have had 20 or more hot days (1975, 1976, 1983, 1988, 1995 and 2012) – the record being held by 2012 with 39 days.

Over the last four and a half decades, there has been a trend toward fewer hot days each summer, with the averages being 15.8, 11.7, 8.2 and 7.3 days for the 1970s, ’80s, ’90s and ’00s, respectively. The half-completed 2010s, by virtue of the incredibly warm 2012, appear to be bucking this trend as, thus far, we have averaged 12 such days each summer in this decade, though only 2012 had as many as 12.

It remains to be seen what the rest of this summer and the decade will bring, but these data remind us how complicated the interplay between weather and climate can be since the global average temperature has been trending the other way in these same decades.

Category: Climate, Meteorology, Seasons

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What is the prediction for this year’s hurricane season?

Posted on June 6, 2016 by WeatherGuys Editor
This photo, taken from video provided by NASA, shows Hurricane Alex -- a rare January hurricane in the Atlantic -- seen from the International Space Station. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting 10-16 named storms this hurricane season, which runs from June through November in the Atlantic Ocean basin. (Photo credit: NASA)

This photo, taken from video provided by NASA, shows Hurricane Alex — a rare January hurricane in the Atlantic — seen from the International Space Station. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting 10-16 named storms this hurricane season, which runs from June through November in the Atlantic Ocean basin. (Photo credit: NASA)

Hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean basin runs from June through November.

 

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting 10 to 16 named storms this season.

To acquire a name, the storm must have wind speeds of 39 mph or higher. Of these, four to eight will turn into hurricanes; one to four of these storms are predicted to become major hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour.

NOAA does not make a seasonal prediction on the path of hurricanes but will predict a hurricane’s path once the storm develops.

On average, the Atlantic Ocean sees 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. So, if the forecast holds, we are in for an average hurricane season.

The last three years have seen weaker hurricane season, so this year may see high activity.

The forecast is based on current and expected conditions. First, an active season would be predicted if the sea surface temperatures are warmer than normal. Warmer temperatures increase evaporation off the sea surface and that provides the energy for the storm.

We are coming out of an El Niño year and there is a 70 percent chance entering a La Niña, a condition that favors more hurricane activity than average.

Perhaps surprisingly, the atmospheric pressure pattern over the Arctic also plays a role in the forecast: high pressure means a weaker jet stream, which favors hurricane development.

We already have had Hurricane Alex, which occurred in mid-January of this year. Hurricanes can exist outside of the defined hurricane season. Tropical Storm Bonnie was a weak but persistent tropical storm that formed on May 27.

Category: Severe Weather, Tropical

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