How do I prepare for severe weather?

How do I prepare for severe weather?

Severe weather can happen at any time and anywhere. Your best protection is  to be prepared.

Last week, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the  Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) sponsored the National Severe Weather  Preparedness Week. Throughout the week, they organized groups and activities  that highlighted the importance of preparing for severe weather before it  strikes. They pointed out that being prepared for severe weather doesn’t have to  be complicated or expensive. The most important step is to have a plan for what  you and your family will do when severe weather strikes.

An important first step is to know the potential hazards. Weather hazards in  Wisconsin are primarily from tornados, large hail, straight-line winds and  flooding. The summer is when much of this severe weather can occur, though it  can occur at any time.

You should remain alert for potential weather hazards. Get an NOAA weather  radio for weather updates. Also, subscribe to wireless emergency alerts, or  WEAs, that provide free messages to your cell phone that will alert you about  severe weather in your area.

For more information on WEA Alerts, go to ready.gov/warning-systems-signals. These severe weather  alerts provide only basic information; seek additional information. Tune in to  local forecasters on radio or television. Local forecasters are experts on  regional weather and can interpret observations and conditions for you.

Severe weather can strike quickly, so know where to take shelter before  encountering a severe weather event. Learn more at ready.gov/severe-weather.

Category: Severe Weather, Weather Dangers

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How is the wind measured?

Wind has both speed and direction. Anemometers measure wind speed and wind vanes measure wind direction.

A typical wind vane has a pointer in front and fins in back. When the wind is blowing, the wind vane points into the wind. For example, in a north wind, the wind vane points northward.

A cup anemometer is a common tool to measure wind speed. The cups catch the wind and produce pressure difference inside and outside the cup. The pressure difference, along with the force of the wind, causes the cups to rotate. Electric switches measure the speed of the rotation, which is proportional to the wind speed.

At wind speeds below about 3 mph, the cup anemometer is prone to error because friction keeps the cups from turning. At wind speeds above 100 mph, cup anemometers often blow away or give unreliable measurements. In freezing rain, the anemometer can literally freeze up and stop turning.

Propellers also can measure wind speed. The propeller blades rotate at a rate proportional to the wind speed.

A windsock often is used at airports. A windsock is a cone-shaped bag with an opening at both ends. When it is limp, winds are light; when it is stretched out, winds are strong. Pilots can quickly determine the wind direction and speed along a runway just by observing the shape and direction of a windsock.

Sonic anemometers use sound waves humans cannot hear to measure wind speed and direction. The instrument determines the wind velocity by measuring the time between when the instrument sends a sonic pulse and when it is received.

Category: Meteorology

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Does the jet stream have something to do with our winter?

Our exceptionally cold winter has been the subject of this column a couple of times in the past few months. Some readers have asked how the jet stream might be related to cold air outbreaks.

As we have mentioned before, the jet stream is a ribbon of strong west-to-east winds located approximately 6 miles above the ground. The jet exists as a result of a pole-to-equator temperature difference throughout the entire depth of the lowest 6 or so miles of the atmosphere.

Naturally, when the polar regions get colder in winter, this temperature difference increases and the jet stream intensifies. A strong, mostly west-east oriented jet can act like a dam to the southward progress of cold air produced in the polar regions.

However, the Northern Hemisphere winter jet is usually quite wavy, and this waviness allows excursions of warm air poleward or cold air equatorward. This winter, the waviness has led to repeated equatorward excursions of polar air over North America.

A recent study, co-authored by one of our colleagues at UW-Madison, has suggested that reductions in Arctic sea ice, which have made the Arctic warmer, have effectively reduced the pole-to-equator temperature difference. The suggestion is that this has weakened the wintertime jet and increased the likelihood that it will be wavier than normal. Such increased waviness, coupled with a related tendency for the waves to move more slowly, might underlie an increased frequency of such cold winters.

This theory – though plausible — has not gained wide acceptance and is being challenged from a number of different perspectives. But that is the nature of science. Ideas are constantly compared with each other, and skepticism prevails among colleagues as to what is the best answer. Only the most comprehensive explanations of nature emerge from this relentless and intense intellectual competition.

Category: Meteorology

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Is this an unusual winter?

There is no doubt that this winter’s prolonged and sometimes desperate cold has been unusual.

Interestingly, for all the talk of the “polar vortex” and our unusually prolonged cold in central North America, it has been a remarkably “warm” winter when considered from the hemispheric perspective. Unusually warm weather in the West has offset the frigid winter across the East and much of the Midwest.

But closer to home, scientists at the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Milwaukee just reported that this year’s start to winter (defined as the period from Dec. 1 to Feb. 11) is the 10th-coldest of all time and the coldest in 35 years. To this point in the winter, our average daily temperature has been just 13 degrees Fahrenheit.

Four times each day we calculate the areal extent of air colder than minus 5 degrees Celsius ( 23 degrees Fahrenheit) at 1 mile above the surface using weather data analyses (not forecasts) supplied by the National Center for Environmental Prediction. Averaging the four measurements per day together creates a daily value of the areal extent of this cold pool.

In the accompanying chart, this daily value is plotted (thick line) against the 64-year average (dashed line) for each calendar day from Dec. 1 to Feb. 11. Thus far, this season is one of the most below-average years in the 64-year record.

Some have suggested that this winter’s cold proves that global warming is a hoax. Conversely, it has provided clear evidence that regional weather drives local cold snaps while climate lurks in the background — testifying even in the face of our cold that the hemisphere is unusually warm.

Category: Meteorology, Seasons

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Where do weather forecasters get their data?

Meteorology, like every other science, relies on careful and precise measurement of its subject. Weather observations are critical to both weather forecasters and computer models that predict the weather. These measurements are made at the ground level as well as in the atmosphere.

An important resource for weather observations near the ground is the Automated Surface Observing System, or ASOS (pronounced “A-sauce”).

There are about 2,000 ASOS stations located at airports across the country, and the instruments are maintained by the Federal Aviation Administration.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) uses the Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) to collect and distribute weather observations from NOAA and non-NOAA organizations.

Meteorologists monitor the atmosphere above the surface by using a radio-equipped meteorological instrument package carried aloft by a helium-filled “weather balloon.”

These devices are launched twice a day by NOAA by over 100 locations across North America, the Pacific islands and the Caribbean. Radiosondes provide upper-air data that are essential for weather forecasts and research.

Weather observations of the upper atmosphere are also made by commercial aircraft flying passengers around the world and distributed to the National Weather Service to use in its computer models.

Satellites and radar systems provide a huge volume of observations.

Radar is used to track precipitating weather systems and are very valuable for short-term forecasts. Satellites track weather systems and make important observations for global weather prediction models.

Privately owned personal weather stations are also an important part of many private forecasting companies. Trained volunteers provide observations about precipitation and threatening weather conditions.

Category: Meteorology

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