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Category Archives: Climate
Why should we care about NCAR?
News that the Office of Management and Budget in the Trump White House will close the National Center for Atmospheric Research, or NCAR, came earlier this month.
NCAR, established in 1960, has provided a unique public/ private partnership in the intervening several decades that has accelerated research and innovation in the weather and climate sciences. It is no exaggeration to say that without NCAR, weather forecasting — where a seven-day forecast made in 2025 is as accurate as a two-day forecast made in 1985 — would not be nearly as advanced as it is today. Continue reading
Category: Climate, History, Meteorology, Weather Dangers
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Despite record warmth, winter is coming
It is a fair bet that we would get near universal agreement that the weekend of November 15-16 was incredibly nice, even the slightly cooler Sunday that followed a truly remarkable Saturday. Both Milwaukee and Madison set all-time record high temperatures for November 15 at 69 and 68 degrees Fahrenheit, respectively.
Apart from the fact that each city recorded highs that were at least 20 degrees lower the very next day (46 for Milwaukee and 48 for Madison), the weekend was also noteworthy for another meteorological reason: At least for Madison, November 15 is the date on which the probability of precipitation falling as snow first reaches 50%. This means that, from here on out, if precipitation is in the forecast, there is at least an even chance that it will fall as snow. Only 10 days later comes the average date of our first 1-inch snowfall. Continue reading
Are the Arctic and Antarctic warming at the same rate?
Global warming is occurring. We know this through scientific observations and our understanding of atmospheric physics and chemistry. We understand that human activities associated with burning fossil fuels is a primary forcing function. While global warming is occurring, observations indicate that rate of warming varies by region.
The Arctic and Antarctic are geographic opposites, and not just because they sit on opposite ends of the globe. The land-sea arrangements are different. Antarctica is a continent surrounded by water; the Arctic is basically a water body surrounded by land. Continue reading
How are fall colors impacted by our weather?
The most vibrant fall color will occur on years with ample moisture in the summer and dry, clear weather in the fall. Extreme heat and moderate-to-severe drought may negatively affect the fall foliage season.
In summer and spring, leaves are green because they contain chlorophyll, which reflects green light more than other colors. Other colors are absorbed by chlorophyll for photosynthesis. Continue reading
How does this summer dew point temperature compare with previous years?
The dew point temperature is the temperature to which the air must be cooled, at constant pressure, to get dew to form. As the grass and other objects near the ground cool and reach the dew point temperature, some of the water vapor in the atmosphere will condense into liquid water on the objects. While the dew point temperature is a temperature, it is also a measure of the humidity of the air. The higher the dew point temperature, the greater the amount of water vapor in the air.
To know how close the air is to saturation, we need to know the dew point and the air temperature. The closer the dew point is to the air temperature, the closer the air is to saturation. When the dew point equals the air temperature, the air is saturated, so the dew point temperature cannot be greater than the air temperature. Continue reading
Category: Climate, Meteorology, Seasons
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