Author Archives: WeatherGuys Editor

How does factory exhaust contribute to snowfall?

An article in the Wisconsin State Journal reported that on November 26, 2024, a factory near Menomonie, Wisconsin contributed to a narrow band of snow that extended for nearly 100 miles. This can occur only with certain atmospheric conditions. A … Continue reading

Category: Meteorology, Phenomena

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Does the warmest autumn on record mean anything about the coming winter?

In the past several years we have occasionally mentioned our tracking of the areal extent of air colder than minus 5 degrees centigrade at about 1 mile above the surface of the Earth. This measurement has proven to be a very valuable addition to the collection of metrics of global warming. We have particularly commented on the wintertime (December, January and February) average of this extent measured over the entire Northern Hemisphere, noting that since 1948 the wintertime average extent has systematically decreased.

We have also been tracking this variable throughout the autumn over all these years and can report that this fall (Sept. through Nov. 30) recorded the smallest average areal extent of this cold air since at least 1948. That means we have just experienced the warmest Northern Hemisphere autumn in at least the past 77 years. Continue reading

Category: Climate, Seasons

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Is climate change uniform across the globe?

Temperature is a fundamental indicator of a climate. Annual and seasonal temperatures patterns have a defining role in the types of animals and plants that reside in an ecosystem. Rapid changes in temperature can disrupt a wide range of natural processes. This is one reason we monitor temperature changes as a metric for global change. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Centers for Environmental Information maintain a collection of climate data online at: www.ncei.noaa.gov

Concentrations of heat-trapping greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide, are increasing in the Earth’s atmosphere. This increase is due to anthropogenic activity. In response, the average temperatures at the Earth’s surface are increasing and are expected to continue rising. Though global temperature changes can shift the wind patterns and ocean currents, the regional warming is not uniform. Continue reading

Category: Climate, History

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How and when do Madison lakes freeze?

The surface of a lake exchanges energy with the air above. Cold air cools the lake surface through energy exchanges with the atmosphere, determined by the weather above. As cool surface water cools, it becomes denser than the warmer water below and so the cooled water sinks. Water from below then rises to the surface where it begins to cool.

What is unique about the H2O water molecule is that as liquid water cools, its density increases until about 39°F (4°C). At that point, the colder water becomes less dense, stays at the surface, and continues to cool. Once the surface water cools to approximately 32°F, the water molecules crystallize into interlocking lattice-like patterns and ice is formed. For a lake surface to freeze, the entire lake needs to be at a temperature of 39°F; only then as the surface cools will the temperature of the liquid water at the surface remain less dense than the water below and thus float and begin to form ice. Shallower lakes usually freeze before deeper lakes since shallower lakes contain less water that needs to be cooled.
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Category: Meteorology, Seasons

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What is climate change?

Climate can be defined as the collective state of the atmosphere for a given place over a specified interval of time. There are three parts to this definition: location, because climate can be defined for a globe, a continent, a region or a city; time, because climate must be defined over a specified period; and the collective state of the atmosphere, which includes averages and extremes of variables such as temperature, precipitation, pressure and winds.

Climate change is a long-term change in the average weather patterns that have come to define Earth’s local, regional and global climates. Continue reading

Category: Climate, History

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