How do we measure an official snowfall for Madison?

Suka the polar bear enjoys her first Wisconsin snowfall in the Arctic Passage exhibit at Vilas Zoo on Saturday.  Accurate and precise measurement of snow accumulation Is a difficult task.  The trick is finding a good place to measure and a firm surface upon which to set your ruler.  Photo credit: Amber Arnold, Wisconsin State Journal

Suka the polar bear enjoys her first Wisconsin snowfall in the Arctic Passage exhibit at Vilas Zoo on Saturday. Accurate and precise measurement of snow accumulation Is a difficult task. The trick is finding a good place to measure and a firm surface upon which to set your ruler. Photo credit: Amber Arnold, Wisconsin State Journal

The trick in measuring snow consistently is simply finding a good place to measure and a firm surface upon which to set your ruler.

At official stations, a snow board (a square piece of wood 16 inches on a side and painted white) is employed.

Other surface options are wooden decks, picnic tables, and cars. Your measurement location should be 20 to 30 feet away from the house with an unobstructed view of the sky.

Sidewalks are not recommended as they tend to accelerate melting of the snow.

Grass is also suboptimal as snow tends to sit up on top of the blades of grass, while the ruler goes down to the ground.

When the wind blows and the snow drifts, accurately measuring snow accumulation is even more challenging as drifting becomes a problem.

To deal with drifting snow, measurements must be made at various places and then averaged to get what is considered a representative measurement.

The liquid equivalent of accumulated snow can be measured with the standard rain gauge — an 8-inch diameter cylinder that collects precipitation. The conversion from liquid equivalent to snow depth varies with every storm and is broadly temperature dependent.

Thus, it is really difficult to re-create a snowfall distribution from liquid equivalent observations over an area even as small as Dane County.

Discussions are underway currently to terminate the snowfall recording at Dane County Regional Airport.

This would be a terrible blow to the climate record of Madison, and we sincerely hope a new agreement can be worked out between the FAA and other interested parties.

We will at least have official records through this snow season.

Category: Meteorology, Seasons

Comments Off on How do we measure an official snowfall for Madison?

What forces a mid-latitude cyclone to develop?

Our storm on Wednesday night and Thursday of last week was the first strong storm of the autumn/winter season. As you found yourself caught in the strong winds, you may well have wondered how do storms like this one come to be.

That has been the central motivating question in meteorological science for most of the past 100 years.

During that time meteorologists have learned a great deal about how such storms are formed. In most instances, two or more days before the storm is noticed at the surface of the Earth, processes are at work in the upper troposphere.

Specifically, at the height of the jet stream (about 6 miles above the surface), weak downward vertical motions begin to drag the layer of the atmosphere known as the tropopause downward into the middle troposphere, the lowest layer of the Earth’s atmosphere where all of its weather occurs.

This process eventually results in the creation of a mid-level vortex, a region of counterclockwise rotating winds, at about 3 miles above the ground. Once generated, this vortex is then moved around by the atmospheric winds in its vicinity.

At the forward side of this moving vortex, the air is forced to rise. Such upward vertical motion evacuates air from the lower troposphere, lowering the pressure at the surface. Simultaneously, the upward vertical motion produces clouds and precipitation.

So long as the mid-level vortex continues to intensify and move, so too does the surface cyclone. In many cases, the mid-level vortex eventually becomes quasi-stationary and positioned directly above the surface cyclone. This usually marks the end of the intensification for the storm though it can still deliver high impact weather at this stage.

Category: Meteorology, Seasons

Comments Off on What forces a mid-latitude cyclone to develop?

How unusual was the rapid intensification of Hurricane Patricia?

The recent extremely powerful Hurricane Patricia off the west coast of Mexico, the most intense hurricane ever measured in the Western Hemisphere, was noteworthy for a number of reasons.

Perhaps primarily, it was characterized by the incredible fact that its central minimum pressure decreased by 100 millibars in 24 hours from Oct. 22-23. Since the average sea-level pressure is just over 1,000 millibars, that means that 10 percent of the atmospheric column over the center of Patricia was somehow evacuated in only one day.

This mass evacuation is accomplished by upward vertical motion of the air and subsequent exportation to locations far from the central core of the storm. The circumstances that promote these vertical motions and allow the exportation of the air that is lifted are complicated and difficult to anticipate in extreme cases like Patricia.

However, the very same upward vertical motion and exportation of air occurs in the center of mid-latitude storms such as the ones that bring us our winter snows or even the one that brought us a rainy Halloween. A typical rate of intensification for a robust snowstorm such as those we might receive in Madison during winter is 12 millibars of pressure fall per day — more than eight times less dramatic than that which characterized Patricia.

Such sudden intensifications of tropical cyclones can still, as they did with Patricia, surprise forecasters. It is exceptionally rare, however, for any such surprises to contaminate forecasts of mid-latitude weather systems.

Category: Tropical, Weather Dangers

Comments Off on How unusual was the rapid intensification of Hurricane Patricia?

Will this mild November weather continue?

The Edmund Fitzgerald, a Great Lakes ore carrier, took on water and snapped in two during a storm on Nov. 10, 1975, on Lake Superior, plunging 556 to the lake bottom. Photo Credit: Burt Emanulle, Associated Press archives.

The Edmund Fitzgerald, a Great Lakes ore carrier, took on water and snapped in two during a storm on Nov. 10, 1975, on Lake Superior, plunging 556 to the lake bottom. Photo Credit: Burt Emanulle, Associated Press archives.

Not necessarily. Some warm Novembers had some severe extratropical cyclones, particularly around Veteran’s Day (formally known as Armistice Day).

Tuesday marks the 40th year since a winter storm blew across the Midwest, sending the freighter SS Edmund Fitzgerald to the bottom of Lake Superior with all 29 crew members. Gordon Lightfoot’s 1976 ballad “The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald” helped make this incident the most famous disaster in Great Lakes shipping history.

The storm developed over the Oklahoma panhandle on the morning of Nov. 9, 1975, and headed for the Great Lakes, reaching Lake Superior by Nov. 10. The sustained winds of more that 40 knots resulted in waves larger than 20 feet.

This is also the 75th year after the Armistice Day storm of 1940, another memorable storm that ravaged the Upper Great Lakes region Nov. 11 and 12. This storm took down the Tacoma Narrows Bridge that spanned Puget Sound in the Pacific Northwest before heading to the Midwest. By the time this storm ended, it had killed more than 150 people, sunk at least three ships, stranded hundreds of train passengers, and isolated Midwestern towns with huge 20-foot snow drifts.

The “11-11-11” storm developed over southern Wyoming on the morning of Nov. 10, 1911 and traveled eastward reaching southwestern Iowa by the morning of the 11th. The storm’s center traveled northeastward across Wisconsin, reaching central Wisconsin by noon and Michigan’s Upper Peninsula by evening.

Category: Meteorology, Severe Weather, Weather Dangers

Comments Off on Will this mild November weather continue?

Why are cold snaps in autumn so short-lived?

Over the past weekend, southern Wisconsin experienced its first cold snap of the season with widespread morning lows in the upper 20s on Friday and Saturday mornings.

Often, cold snaps in autumn are short-lived, as this recent example was, affecting usually one or two nights at most.

There are a variety of reasons for this brevity. First, cold snaps at this time of year require a substantial southerly excursion of cold air from high latitude Canada to get us cold. Though the Arctic night creeps ever farther south each day after the autumnal equinox, its southerly progress is slow.

Consequently, cold air production is limited to the very highest latitudes well into November, which means that any cold air that makes it as far south as Madison is not well connected to a broader reservoir of cold air that would allow the cold to remain.

Second, there is little snow on the ground even in central Canada at this time of year and so the cold air that does migrate southward is modified (warmed) to a greater degree on that migration at this time of year than in the late fall and winter when snowcover is widespread.

Third, the lack of snow on the ground in Madison itself limits the longevity of cold snaps. This is even true in the wintertime. Overnight cooling over a snowfield can reinvigorate the chill of a cold snap and render it longer lasting as a result. So, if you were complaining about the cold this weekend, be glad we are still in October and much more likely to experience a quick rebound.

Category: Meteorology, Seasons

Comments Off on Why are cold snaps in autumn so short-lived?